Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 11.545483 13.308299 15.191998 17.348164 19.741250 22.309193 25.266320
2025-01-12 9.323380 11.638395 14.264682 17.442397 21.159816 25.347329 30.396284
2025-01-19 7.817093 10.445073 13.580158 17.549793 22.392822 28.058834 35.134471
2025-01-26 6.881550 9.755025 13.333981 18.041591 23.986566 31.157425 40.365085
2025-02-02 6.096222 9.125007 13.048189 18.386885 25.335755 33.941246 45.255964
2025-02-09 5.334422 8.416497 12.561233 18.384399 26.178808 36.066193 49.347030
2025-02-16 4.456400 7.433097 11.595783 17.638709 25.958809 36.768682 51.597233
2025-02-23 3.886617 6.820530 11.070899 17.423046 26.387589 38.278189 54.885314
2025-03-02 3.345454 6.183165 10.443295 16.996394 26.470972 39.292336 57.511091
2025-03-09 2.947450 5.720782 10.025104 16.824166 26.872576 40.717254 60.694591
2025-03-16 2.550074 5.209898 9.482809 16.417492 26.895701 41.594004 63.127930
2025-03-23 2.309215 4.935419 9.282731 16.503939 27.621781 43.454236 66.945569
2025-03-30 2.056487 4.612682 8.980666 16.414514 28.084018 44.960901 70.327028
2025-04-06 1.884864 4.417545 8.870872 16.615241 28.981433 47.108588 74.660113
2025-04-13 1.722792 4.220145 8.738226 16.763799 29.793965 49.145094 78.874747
2025-04-20 1.630004 4.147982 8.815582 17.256815 31.154086 52.018000 84.358043
2025-04-27 1.523088 4.033600 8.806269 17.597861 32.278646 54.561951 89.412618
2025-05-04 1.380492 3.825492 8.607495 17.598602 32.849300 56.277670 93.278536
2025-05-11 1.165695 3.428157 8.018994 16.879743 32.209865 56.118480 94.340494
2025-05-18 1.033968 3.199287 7.731550 16.672006 32.394275 57.218753 97.299323
2025-05-25 0.896224 2.934053 7.347150 16.260297 32.210754 57.728044 99.360328
2025-06-01 0.797049 2.748087 7.105591 16.094121 32.430358 58.868091 102.398559
2025-06-08 0.689526 2.521569 6.757422 15.701628 32.235696 59.332055 104.391530